ES Tunis host Al Ahly in a crucial TotalEnergies CAF Champions League quarter-final first leg encounter at the Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi on Sunday, 15 March 2026 at 23:00. This high-stakes fixture pits two of African football's most decorated clubs against each other, with both teams eyeing a place in the semi-finals of the continent's premier club competition. The Tunisian giants will be looking to overturn their poor recent record against the Egyptian powerhouses in what promises to be a tactical battle of the highest order.

Team Form and Head-to-Head

ES Tunis come into this quarter-final clash in impressive form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. The Blood and Gold secured comprehensive victories over AS-FAN (3-0 away and 4-1 at home) and Rahimo (1-0 away and 3-0 at home) before drawing 0-0 with Stade Malien Bamako in their most recent outing. However, their head-to-head record against Al Ahly makes for concerning reading, with the Tunisian side failing to win any of their last five encounters against the Red Devils.

Al Ahly arrive in Tunisia with momentum on their side, unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. The Egyptian champions have displayed their defensive solidity with narrow 1-0 victories over Aigle Noir both home and away, before thrashing JS Kabylie 4-1. A 1-1 draw against FAR Rabat was followed by a convincing 2-0 win over Young Africans in January 2026. The head-to-head statistics heavily favor Al Ahly, who have won four of the last five meetings, including a 1-0 victory in their most recent encounter in May 2024, with the other match ending goalless.

What's at Stake

This quarter-final first leg represents a golden opportunity for ES Tunis to finally break their duck against Al Ahly and gain a crucial advantage ahead of the return leg in Cairo on 21 March 2026. For the Tunisian outfit, home advantage at the Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi could prove decisive in their quest to reach the semi-finals. Meanwhile, Al Ahly will be confident of extending their dominance over their North African rivals and taking a commanding lead back to Egypt. An away goal or victory would significantly strengthen the Egyptian champions' position in this two-legged tie.

Match Prediction

Given the head-to-head record and recent form, this ES Tunis vs Al Ahly encounter appears finely balanced. The win probabilities reflect this, with Al Ahly at 45%, a draw at 45%, and ES Tunis at just 10%. Expert advice suggests backing a double chance on draw or Al Ahly with under 3.5 goals, indicating expectations of a tight, low-scoring affair. As a cup match, if the scores are level after 90 minutes, extra time and potentially penalties could be required. Our prediction leans towards a narrow advantage for the visitors or a stalemate, with Al Ahly's superior record in this fixture giving them the edge in what should be a cagey tactical battle.